Monday, July 19, 2010

Always a Governor, Never a Senator...

This past weekend, Brian Schweitzer ruled out a Senate run. One has to wonder, if this is the final straw. It is this blogger’s belief that it is not.

Check out the article: http://billingsgazette.com/news/state-and-regional/montana/article_30584e16-9227-11df-ad25-001cc4c03286.html

Schweitzer gives us the ‘toke’ “never say never” line. That line is tradition, nothing new.

So, do I believe the Good Guv… Nope! Brian likes the spot light, and he likes attention. Not to mention, he is a juggernaut of sorts. His entrance into Democrat politics, correlate with the Democratic Comeback of the last decade.

Will Brian run for Senate, the answer depends on the hand he is dealt. Brian is the ultimate opportunist. Brian wont challenge his friend and legacy candidate-Jon Tester. He does, however, have an option. Many know there has never been any love lost between Schweitzer and Max Baucus.

The question is this, will Max Baucus be vulnerable in 2014. Max in typical fashion-dumped all his dirty laundry right after his 2008 re-election. His divorce, new girlfriend, her attempt to get a plush DOJ job, and his involvement in HealthCare reform all may weaken Baucus, who has been un-touchable. Baucus has only been in trouble once-1996.

If Max is weak, Brian will make a go at our Senior Senator. Jay Stevens, at LeftInTheWest, points out that Brian’s coal letter, the attacks over funding for the North Fork efforts, single payer plans. What does it mean? A Montana Governor wont challenge a sitting President-no matter his popularity; perhaps there is soon to be an opening in the Obama cabinet. Certainly Jay is a better source for inner circle Democrat information.

I think Brian is waiting for a chink in the Baucus chain…

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